Nottingham Forest vs Luton predictions in our match preview for this Championship clash. Can Forest claim a victory when they meet Luton on Sunday? Read on for our free Championship predictions and betting tips.
Reason For Nottingham Forest vs Luton Predictions
Luton have lost 13 of their last 16 games.
The visitors have the league’s worst defence, conceding 58 goals in 27 matches.
Forest have the third-best record against bottom-half sides, with a 100% win-rate at home to the bottom 8.
Luton have lost away to each top 10 side they’ve met so far this season.
Can Luton End Drift?
Luton remain in touching distance of the sides above them, despite some terrible form in recent weeks. The visitors are away to the City Ground on Sunday, so they’ll be reacting to all the big results on Saturday. However, going into this weekend the Hatters are bottom, four points shy of safety after 27 matches.
While that’s not unreachable by any means, the Hatters have been falling for a while, losing 13 of their last 16 matches. They aren’t just bottom of the table overall, they’re bottom of the form table with just four points from their last eight matches. That’s pushing them towards the drop and the longer that drift goes on the worse things will get for Luton.
These two sides meet here for the first time in nearly 12 years when they were both in League One. Forest won 2-1 in the away meeting, and they’ll be hoping for a second win before potentially parting ways. Forest are in fifth place and are hoping for the Premier League, while Luton are on course for the drop. History points to another setback here, as Luton haven't won an away league game against Nottingham Forest since March 1983 in the top-flight; they are winless in 11 at the City Ground since (D5 L6).
Luton are hardly in form to put up a fight, as the side with the league’s worst defence. They have shipped 58 goals in 27 games, so Forest’s top scorer Lewis Grabban will be relishing this rare encounter. Since the start of last season, Nottingham Forest striker Lewis Grabban has scored 30 Championship goals - twice as many as any other Forest player. That includes the opener at Luton when they last met.
Luton Can’t Cut it
This looks like a one-sided game with a significant gap between them in the table. Forest have proven themselves against the lower sides in the table, that’s what their playoff push has been built on. Only Leeds (34) and Fulham (30) have taken more Championship points against teams currently in the bottom-half of the league than Nottingham Forest this season (28).
Meanwhile, the visitors have been out of their depth against the better sides in the division. Luton have won just five points in 15 Championship games this season against teams currently in the top-half of the league (W1 D2 L12), fewer than any other side. That includes losses away to each of the top 10, while Forest have a 100% record at home to the bottom eight. As a result, a home win is our pick here.
Luton come into this clash having seen over 2.5 goals in 15 of their last 16 games. That’s largely down to their awful defence, having shipped two goals or more in their last nine trips. We see Forest taking advantage of that, but the hosts have lost their defensive solidity at home. Forest have one clean sheet in five at home, so a 2-1 victory for Forest is our correct score selection.